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2012 Republican Primary

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"2012 is America's last chance to get it right."
Michele Bachmann in agreement with the other candidates.

2012 Republican Primary
2012
There can only be one
Information
Name 2012 Republican Primary
Type Presidential
Voting Year(s) 2011-2012
Inaugural Year 2013
Candidates Mitt Romney (nominee)
Outcome Romney Emerges as Nominee
Mistake? Impossible. Any candidate is better than Obama.

The 2012 Republican Primary has been called the most important election in the history of the United States. It falls in a time of an economic recession, political unrest across the world, and declining values and ethics among government officials. On May 29, 2012 Governor Mitt Romney officially reached the number of delegates needed to secure the nomination by winning the state of Texas.

Nominee Edit

Mitt Romney Edit

Romney

The Former Governor of Massachusetts and 2008 Republican Presidential candidate has been the on-and-off frontrunner of the race even before his June Second, 2011 announcement in Statham, New Hampshire. Having run in the previous election, his base has had three years to expand. He seemed only to lose some of the spotlight when speculation of then-Alaska Governor Sarah Palin's possible 2012 run briefly arose after Senator McCain's loss to Obama. At each major checkpoint in the primary, he seems to be the inevitable winner. At the same time, however, he faces an uphill battle, often being dubbed as too liberal by the far-right, particularly Tea Party leaders. Their main concern with him is his record of defending abortion rights and passing an individual mandate in a Massachusetts health care law. Nevertheless, he has scored two major Tea Party endorsements: Senator Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire and Governor Nikki Haley of South Carolina. Since her decision to back Romney, Haley has faced serious heat from her constituents. Her approval rating has dropped to 38% and there is now speculation of a primary challenge for the Republican gubernatorial nomination in 2014. Regarding Governor Romney, his campaign has followed a pattern of losing to a more conservative challenger in the polls to bouncing back as the frontrunner. So far, these temporary challengers have been Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, Herman Cain (now out of the race), Newt Gingrich, and currently Ron Paul. Political analysts and experts are split on whether or not the nomination of Mitt Romney truly is inevitable. This belief was temporarily confirmed when he was thought to have won the Iowa Caucus, until a recall determined Senator Santorum as the true victor. This announcement, however, came after Romney easily won the New Hampshire primary and just before he finished second to Newt Gingrich in South Carolina. He later picked up a win in the Florida Primary by approximately a 15 point lead over Gingrich. This victory came after a series of endorsements from prominent Florida Republicans and Hispanic Conservative leaders across the country. FL Governor Rick Scott also noted that Hispanic Republicans in Florida were attracted to Romney's family values. Mitt moved on to win Nevada, a state where the Mormon vote had considerable impact. Unfortunately for the governor, he lost Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado each to Rick Santorum, who is now deemed Romney's biggest challenge. When Super Tuesday arrived on March 6th, Romney won the states of Alaska, Idaho, Massachusetts, Vermont, and Virginia, and he also managed to gain an important win by a small margin in Ohio. He was defeated by Speaker Gingrich in Georgia and by Senator Santorum in, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and North Dakota, the state being his worst performance of the night. His next win came from the fairly liberal state of Hawaii, where he clinched 45.5% of the vote, beating Santorum by over 20%. However, he finished third in the two other states of the night, Mississippi and Alabama. Later in the primary season, Romney picked up some crucial endorsements like Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Rep. Paul Ryan and Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, which is currently facing a battle over union pensions, that helped him win the important heartland state. Romney went on to win all following primaries and is mathematically the only possible nominee. On May 29, 2012, Romney won Texas and officially reached the required amount of delegates to be the nominee. He accepted his nomination on August 30 at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida.


Former Candidates Edit

Michele Bachmann Edit

New bachmann

Congresswoman Michele Bachmann of Minnesota's 6th district announced her intentions to seek the office of the Presidency of the United States during a Presidential debate on June 13, 2011 hosted by CNN in New Hampshire. She later made an official announcement in her hometown of Waterloo, Iowa.[1] Bachmann quickly rose to the top of the polls, even beating frontrunner Mitt Romney in a few. While in the lead, she won the Ames Iowa Straw Poll with 29% of the vote, narrowly beating Ron Paul.[2] Since then, her campaign has lost momentum until hitting a rock bottom of an average 2% in most polls. For a brief moment, her numbers rose again, and she sat between 9% and 12% of the vote, frequently placing in fourth place. After that however, she failed to gain any more traction, and fell once again to the bottom of most polls. Analysts say that this is due to the fact that Iowans weren't confident in her ability to defeat Barack Obama, an issue she has denied several times, stating that the GOP needs a conservative candidate who could contrast themselves from the incumbent. After finishing dead last in the Iowa Caucus, the Congresswoman bowed out of the race, vowing to continue the fight for Conservatives' principals in Washington D.C. as a Representative. She officially endorsed Mitt Romney while appearing with him in Virginia, saying that he's the "obvious choice" for 2012. [3]

Herman Cain Edit

Cain

Cain's campaign was extremely unique as he was the only candidate to have never held political office. Instead, he wis a career businessman and self-proclaimed "doer". After struggling to gain traction, Cain's poll numbers suddenly rose to the top after he revealed his "9-9-9" plan. The businessman reiterated his "bold solution" in every chance he was given. This gave opponents an opportunity to make attempts in pointing out flaws in the plan, one of the most memorable attacks being the joke from Michele Bachmann that if you take 9-9-9 and flip it over, it's the "devil in details" referencing the fact that the fictional Devil's number is 6-6-6. These attacks were joined by accusations of "sexual harassment" posed against Cain that, while probably not true, forced him to retire from his campaign. Even after dropping out, he campaigned across America for "The People" and pushed his 9-9-9 plan even further. He also endorsed Speaker Gingrich and campaigned heavily for him in Georgia, a state Mr. Gingrich won easily. After Gingrich pulled out, Cain endorsed Romney, becoming one of the last former contenders to do so. He continues to spread his 9-9-9 plan with his new site, Cain Connections

Newt Gingrich Edit

Gingrich

For a while since the start of his campaign in early 2011, when Gingrich left his position as a FOX News analyst to run for the White House, it seemed as though his campaign had no chance. He had consistently low numbers in almost every poll, and he placed horribly in the Ames Iowa Straw Poll. On top of that, it was revealed that Gingrich may have been $500,000 in debt to Tiffany & Co.[4] Starting January 9, 2011, staff members of the Gingrich campaign began to resign, and any lingering hope for his changes faded. For months, Gingrich was written off as a "also ran candidate", someone who is vaguely remembered when recalling the election. However, Gingrich had given strong debate performances, often challenging the moderators themselves as well as tearing into President Obama.[5] Because of these performances (and his massive Twitter following), Gingrich has become a serious candidate since November 2011. He finished fourth place in the Iowa Caucus and fourth in the New Hampshire primary, but on January 21, he won the South Carolina primary by a 15 point margin. After two weak debate performances, one in which the audience could not cheer which was a major setback to Gingrich's style, the Former Speaker finished in second place in the Florida Primary, losing to Governor Romney. After this defeat, is campaign sunk further and further until he was no longer considered Romney's main opponent, being replaced by Rick Santorum. He was handily beaten in Nevada and later Minnesota and Colorado. He also lost Missouri, where he did not appear on the ballot due to the failure to file in time with the state. The former speaker would not win another gold until Super Tuesday, where he came away in first place in the Georgia Primary. He later came in disappointing seconds in Mississippi and Alabama, two states in the South that Gingrich swore he'd make a comeback in. After failing to win another state since Georgia, the former Speaker dropped out and endorsed Mitt Romney on May 2nd, 2012. He has since campaigned for the former Massachusetts Governor in Georgia.

Jon Huntsman Edit

Huntsman2012

The Former Utah Governor and US Ambassador to China had never been mentioned in the national spotlight before he announced his Presidential candidacy on June 21, 2011 at Liberty State Park.[6] Often described as the most liberal candidate in the race, and one who has served in the Obama administration, Huntsman has had a difficult time capturing the attention of most Republican Primary voters, particularly those who align themselves with the Tea Party. Huntsman has also taken some minor heat in the state of South Carolina, where a significant amount of voters say they would be uncomfortable with a Mormon President, ruling out both Huntsman and Governor Romney. During the debates, Huntsman mostly failed to connect with the audience, often making lines that seem awkward and out of place. His performances were reflected in the polls, where he consistently finished last or second-to-last, occasionally beating Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum. After finishing third in New Hampshire, a state where he dedicated all of his efforts, he decided to drop out. His campaign announced his intentions to endorse Mitt Romney on January 15. Huntsman has been relatively quiet since the official endorsement.

Ron Paul Edit

RonPaul
The libertarian of Texas Congressman Ron Paul announced his candidacy on May 13, 2011 in Exeter, New Hampshire.[7] For months, he had only been able to garner from about 11% to 15%, having a loyal fanbase that neither shrunk nor grew. He has become a master of winning the young vote, most likely for his fresh ideas that appeal to angry Americans who had recently entered the work force. The majority of his strength seems to rest in the state of Iowa, where he placed second in the Ames Straw Poll, barely losing to Congresswoman Michele Bachmann. Recently, his numbers in Iowa polls have increased sharply and he has been declared the new frontrunner for the dawning Iowa Caucuses. If he manages to win that, he will face several challenges in the rest of the country, particularly with his anti-war stances that don't settle will with the majority of Republican voters. His biggest challenger on this position have been fellow contenders Rick Santorum and Michele Bachmann, who has tagged his statements on Iran as "dangerous". The Congresswoman of the National Intelligence Committee claims that he is unaware of the threat that Iran poses to both the US and Israel. After challenging Paul with this charge in a recent debate, Paul became the angriest he's ever been on television, and he later stated that Bachmann "hates Muslims" and that's why she feels negatively towards Iran. Whether this comment helped or not, he defeated her in the Iowa Caucus, where he placed third with 21% of the vote. He went on to finish second in New Hampshire, loosing to Governor Romney by over ten points. Claiming that his momentum was growing steadily, he pressed forward to South Carolina, and he ultimately finished in last out of the four remaining candidates. Dr. Paul again fell in last place for the Florida Primary at the end of January, but the Congressman he will moved on to Nevada, where he again failed to pull off a win.
Ron

Paul speaks to supporters

He remained unsuccessful in the next three states of Minnesota, Colorado, and Missouri and is still in search of his first win even after Super Tuesday. His team is currently confused and frustrated that the large enthusiasm at his rallies is not transferring to significant votes. Despite getting one of the highest percentages in a while of 18.3% on March 13th, he also, that same day, finished last in Alabama and Mississippi. Ron Paul has discontinued active campaigning and although many caucus states surprisingly assigned the majority of delegates to him, it became impossible for him to win the nomination after Romney clinched Texas on May 29, 2012. Despite never winning a state, Paul earned the third most delegates at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida.[8]

Tim Pawlenty Edit

Pawlenty

The Former Governor of Minnesota was in the race for the White House only for a short time before withdrawing. In the early stages of his campaign, he acknowledged that he had to do well in the Ames, Iowa Straw Poll to continue his campaign. He finished third after attempting to attack Congresswoman Bachmann on her record in Congress during the FOX News debate held the day before. It became evident that Bachmann "won" their struggle when she went on to win the straw poll. The morning after the vote, Pawlenty dropped out of the race. This is interesting for two reasons. Firstly, the winner Ames, Iowa Straw Poll has not once in history been elected President and candidates who did poorly have since risen in the polls, so Pawlenty may have been foolish for quitting so early. Thirdly, Pawlenty finished decently well in the vote to begin with. Unless he though that the only possible winners of the nomination were Bachmann and Paul, the two who finished ahead of him, Pawlenty had no reason to drop out due to finishing in third place. Regardless, the former governor went on to endorse Mitt Romney, who has now provided significant aide in bailing Pawlenty out of his campaign debt. Pawlenty now is one of the Romney campaign's co-chairs.

Rick Perry Edit

Perry

After George W. Bush's Presidency, which the liberal media has tried their best to tag as a failure, some moderate voters have been unsure of electing another Texas Governor to the White House. Since the start of his candidacy on August 13, 2011 in Charleston, South Carolina, a date strategically picked to drown out the Ames, Iowa Straw Poll, Perry has distanced himself from President Bush. At first, he successfully campaigned on his impressive record- two out of every three jobs created in America has gone to Texas due to Perry's low tax rates for businesses. Unfortunately for Perry, he suffered poor debate performances including a moment where he struggled to articulate a coherent sentence while attacking Mitt Romney over something that is, to this day unclear, and when he failed to remember one of the federal agencies he wanted to cut. Because of these gaffes, which any human could easily make, and similar debate mistakes, he has fallen in the polls. He admits himself that he's not a strong debater, although he's much better with one-on-one conversations. In the end, these performances may have been his downfall, and he officially dropped out of the race and endorsed Newt Gingrich on January 19. On April 25th, Perry shifted his support to Mitt Romney, stating that Romney has "earned the nomination". [9]

Rick Santorum Edit

Santorum

The former Senator from Pennsylvania, who even the members of the Republican National Committee didn't recognize, started his campaign on June 6, 2011. After his lengthy announcement speech, where he focused passionately on the traditional values established in his family when his ancestors first traveled to the United States, Santorum has continued to campaign on a family values theme, attempting to appeal to the social conservatives and evangelical Christians who have a considerable say in the outcome of the Iowa Caucuses. Other than the endorsement of Bob Vander Plaats, who runs the Iowan social conservative organization "The Family Leader", Satorum was failed to gain any significant traction in his campaign until December 2011, when he suddenly surged into the top three in most polls. After the nation had been told he lost the Iowa Caucus to Romney, a recount declared him the winner. Unfortunately for Santorum, the recount had not been complete until after the New Hampshire primary, where the former Senator placed 5th. He later came in third place in South Carolina out of the four remaining candidates. Without either gaining or losing any traction, he also placed third in the Florida Primary, where he received a similar amount of the vote. He has vowed to press forward to the next state, Nevada, claiming that Newt Gingrich is no longer a viable possibility to be the "anti-Romney" Conservative candidate. He has received the endorsement of Nevada TEA Party favorite and former Senate candidate Sharon Angle, who gave Senator Harry Reid (D-NV) his hardest reelection run in 2010. Despite his disappointing finish in Nevada, Santorum went on to win the Colorado Caucus, Missouri Primary, and Minnesota Caucus on February 7 by enormous margins. After two more debates and weeks of campaigning, his momentum seemed to shrink, and on Super Tuesday, he only managed to win three of the nine competing states, placing first in Oklahoma, Tennessee, and North Dakota. Most notably, he lost the blue-collar swing state of Ohio to Governor Romney. Despite this defeat, he did well in the three primaries held on March 13, pulling ahead in the toss-up states of Mississippi and Alabama, two contests pundits weren't confident in predicting. He did however, lose the third primary of the night, Hawaii, to Governor Romney. Later, on April 3rd, when he lost the state of Wisconsin to Mitt Romney, his chances effectively ended. He suspended his campaign on April 10th.[10]

Results Edit

Main article: 2012 Republican Primary Results

Endorsements Edit

Main article: 2012 Republican Primary Endorsements

Delegate Count Edit

  1. Governor Mitt Romney: 1,524
  2. Senator Rick Santorum: 261
  3. Congressman Ron Paul: 154
  4. Speaker Newt Gingrich: 142
  5. Congresswoman Michele Bachmann: 1
  6. Governor Jon Huntsman: 1
  7. Governor Rick Perry: 0 [11]
  • 1,144 were needed to secure the nomination.

Frontrunner Timeline Edit

The frontrunner for the GOP Nomination seems to have shifted the following way since John McCain won in 2008.

  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Sarah Palin
  3. Mitt Romney
  4. Mike Huckabee
  5. Ron Paul
  6. Donald Trump
  7. Mitt Romney
  8. Michele Bachmann
  9. Rick Perry
  10. Herman Cain
  11. Newt Gingrich
  12. Mitt Romney
  13. Ron Paul
  14. Mitt Romney
  15. Newt Gingrich
  16. Mitt Romney
  17. Rick Santorum
  18. Mitt Romney
  19. Mitt Romney/Rick Santorum
  20. Mitt Romney (winner)
  • Note the amount of times Romney has been frontrunner.

Upcoming Debates Edit

There will be no more debates.

See also Edit

References Edit

  1. [1]
  2. [2]
  3. [3]
  4. [4]
  5. [5]
  6. [6]
  7. [7]
  8. [8]
  9. [9]
  10. [10]
  11. [11]

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